CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 58.18% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

US ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.0 in June

July 1, 2025, 2:07:51 PM UTC
Economic activity in the US manufacturing sector picked up some pace in June, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI advancing to 49.0 from 48.5 in May, coming in above experts' expectations of 48.8.
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United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) came in at 48.6, below expectations (50.1) in July

July 1, 2025, 2:07:30 PM UTC
United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) came in at 48.6, below expectations (50.1) in July
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US JOLTS Job Openings rise to 7.76 million in May vs. 7.3 million expected

July 1, 2025, 2:06:10 PM UTC
The number of job openings on the last business day of May stood at 7.769 million, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday.
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United States JOLTS Job Openings registered at 7.769M above expectations (7.3M) in May

July 1, 2025, 2:00:49 PM UTC
United States JOLTS Job Openings registered at 7.769M above expectations (7.3M) in May
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United States ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49, above forecasts (48.8) in June

July 1, 2025, 2:00:38 PM UTC
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49, above forecasts (48.8) in June
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United States Construction Spending (MoM) came in at -0.3% below forecasts (-0.2%) in May

July 1, 2025, 2:00:09 PM UTC
United States Construction Spending (MoM) came in at -0.3% below forecasts (-0.2%) in May
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United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid above expectations (69) in June: Actual (69.7)

July 1, 2025, 2:00:05 PM UTC
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid above expectations (69) in June: Actual (69.7)
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United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index came in at 45 below forecasts (47) in June

July 1, 2025, 2:00:05 PM UTC
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index came in at 45 below forecasts (47) in June
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United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index: 46.4 (June) vs previous 47.6

July 1, 2025, 2:00:01 PM UTC
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index: 46.4 (June) vs previous 47.6
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ECB Forum 2025: Central bankers share views on interest rate outlook

July 1, 2025, 1:56:02 PM UTC
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve System (Fed), Christine Lagarde, European Central Bank (ECB) President, participate in a policy panel at the 2025 ECB Forum on Central Banking, alongside Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey and Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda.
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Japanese Yen strengthens to over two-week high as US Dollar weakens, trade tensions linger

July 1, 2025, 1:12:58 PM UTC
The Japanese Yen (JPY) gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, reaching its highest level in over two weeks as the broadly weak Greenback remains under pressure amid fiscal uncertainty and dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
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Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.3, below expectations (52) in June

July 1, 2025, 1:00:02 PM UTC
Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.3, below expectations (52) in June
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United States Redbook Index (YoY) increased to 4.9% in June 27 from previous 4.5%

July 1, 2025, 12:56:12 PM UTC
United States Redbook Index (YoY) increased to 4.9% in June 27 from previous 4.5%
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US Dollar weakens as fiscal, tariff risks mount

July 1, 2025, 12:51:19 PM UTC
The US Dollar (USD) continues to face selling pressure, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) currently trading around 96.45, its lowest level since February 2022, as it continues its descent for the ninth straight day.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs as Fed remarks, US ISM data, and trade uncertainty in focus

July 1, 2025, 12:40:33 PM UTC
Gold prices climbed on Tuesday as investor attention shifted to a high-profile gathering of global central bankers in Portugal.At the time of writing, XAU/USD is holding firm above the $3,300 mark, with prices hovering above $3,350 ahead of key policy remarks expected at 13:30 GMT.
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South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales increased to 47294 in June from previous 45308

July 1, 2025, 12:00:28 PM UTC
South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales increased to 47294 in June from previous 45308
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The ECB's strategy review: only small tweaks? – Rabobank

July 1, 2025, 12:00:27 PM UTC
The ECB concluded its strategy assessment yesterday. The review does not suggest major changes in the conduct of monetary policy, nor in the communication of its policy decisions, Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen reports.
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EUR/USD eases from highs with Fed Powell and US data on tap

July 1, 2025, 11:58:20 AM UTC
The EUR/USD pair keeps marching higher for the tenth consecutive day.
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Chinese Gold market in expansion mode – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:48:44 AM UTC
China imported large quantities of Gold from Hong Kong for the second month in a row in May. According to data from the Hong Kong Statistics Department, net shipments to China amounted to 48.1 tons, compared to 43.4 tons in April.
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Gold price rises again – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:45:23 AM UTC
The Gold price has been on the rise again since yesterday, Commerzbank's Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
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Replenishment of strategic Oil reserves in the US is postponed – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:42:53 AM UTC
Trump is also lagging behind his own ambitions on another important point of his energy policy agenda, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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Low Oil prices slow down US drilling activity – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:40:51 AM UTC
US crude Oil production rose to a record level of 13.47 million barrels per day in April, according to the US Energy Information Administration, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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AUD/USD approaches 0.6600 as the US Dollar falls ahead of Fed Powell, Job Openings data

July 1, 2025, 11:33:55 AM UTC
The Australian Dollar keeps marching higher against a depressed US Dollar.
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OPEC+ is set to increase production again – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:20:58 AM UTC
The eight OPEC+ countries with voluntary production cuts are likely to decide next weekend to increase oil production by 411 thousand barrels per day in August, as reported by Reuters and Bloomberg, citing delegates from the expanded production cartel, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch
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AUD: Weaker exports expected – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:10:16 AM UTC
On Monday, the Australian government presented its quarterly forecasts for the mining and export of metals and energy, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
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USD: What comes after the weak start to the year? – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 11:07:59 AM UTC
The euro gained 13.8% against the US dollar in the first six months of this year, marking the best start to a year against the greenback since its introduction. In the last three months alone, the euro gained 9%, representing one of its best quarters against the US dollar.
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RUB: Crisis whispers in the ear – Commerzbank

July 1, 2025, 10:50:21 AM UTC
USD/RUB and EUR/RUB are not market-driven or floating exchange rates. Even so, at this time, these exchange rates are reflecting excessive optimism that the Ukraine war may somehow end and that some of the harsh sanctions on Russia may be removed.
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GBP/USD stretches higher, approaching 1.3800 with the US Dollar at long-term lows

July 1, 2025, 10:50:16 AM UTC
The Pound is accelerating its uptrend on Tuesday, unaffected by rather downbeat UK manufacturing PMI data.
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USD/CNH: Likely to drop below 7.1500 – UOB Group

July 1, 2025, 10:41:54 AM UTC
There is potential for US Dollar (USD) to drop below 7.1500 against Chinese Yuan (CNH); it is unclear whether there is sufficient momentum for it to reach 7.1450.
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USD/JPY: Any further decline is unlikely to reach 142.70 – UOB Group

July 1, 2025, 10:39:03 AM UTC
Increase in momentum may lead to US Dollar (USD) breaking below 143.50 against Japanese Yen (JPY); any further decline is unlikely to reach 142.70. In the longer run, buildup in momentum could trigger further USD declines toward 142.70, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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There is a high level of risk in Margined Transaction products, as Contract for Difference (CFDs) are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to the leverage. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for all traders as it could result in the loss of the total deposit or incur a negative balance; only use risk capital.

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