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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

EUR/USD remains bid, US Dollar dives on Fed independence fears

January 12, 2026, 12:53:45 PM UTC
EUR/USD is trading near 1.1690 at the time of writing, 0.4% higher on daily charts after bouncing from one-month lows at the 1.1620 area earlier on the day.
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USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 6.9660 and 7.0160 – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 12:42:19 PM UTC
Outlook for USD is neutral now; it is likely to trade between 6.9660 and 7.0160, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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USD/CAD holds above 1.3860 despite generalised US Dollar weakness

January 12, 2026, 12:41:48 PM UTC
The US Dollar is trading lower across the board, weighed by fresh concerns about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence.
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USD: Next Fed Chair announcement to impact markets – Rabobank

January 12, 2026, 12:39:04 PM UTC
Markets await the announcement of the next Federal Reserve Chair, with limited USD impact so far as the FOMC is expected to provide balance against a potentially dovish appointee.
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USD/JPY: 158.90 is likely out of reach today – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 12:34:31 PM UTC
Strong momentum indicates further US Dollar (USD) strength; deeply overbought conditions suggest that 158.90 is likely out of reach today. In the longer run, USD is likely to continue to rise; the level to watch is 158.90, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD prints fresh record before consolidating below $4,600

January 12, 2026, 12:19:13 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) trades around $4,580 on Monday at the time of writing, up 1.60% on the day. The precious metal reached a new all-time high at $4,601.32 earlier in the day, extending a particularly strong bullish trend seen over recent weeks.
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USD: Fed subpoenas target Powell over HQ renovations – ABN AMRO

January 12, 2026, 12:16:30 PM UTC
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has received grand jury subpoenas from the Justice Department regarding Jerome Powell’s June congressional testimony about renovations at the Fed’s headquarters, ABN AMRO's Senior Economist Rogier Quaedvlieg reports.
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Gold jumps to record highs amid Fed turmoil and rising geopolitical risks

January 12, 2026, 12:15:11 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) kicks off the week with strong upward momentum, surging to fresh record highs near the $4,600 psychological mark as renewed concerns over Federal Reserve (Fed) independence fuel broad risk aversion. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,583, up nearly 1.70% on the day.
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Pound Sterling outperforms amid renewed concerns on Fed's independence

January 12, 2026, 11:53:52 AM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) recovers strongly to around 1.3465 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday after a weak opening around 1.3390.
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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Aussie returns above 0.6700 on US Dollar’s weakness

January 12, 2026, 11:50:45 AM UTC
The Australian Dollar is posting a significant recovery against the US Dollar on Monday.
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USD/JPY trades close to yearly high near 158.20 amid Trump-Powell feud

January 12, 2026, 11:45:56 AM UTC
The USD/JPY pair trades firmly to its yearly high near 158.20 during the European trading session on Monday. The pair remains broadly firm while both the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) are underperforming during the day.
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EUR/GBP recovery stalls below 0.8700 despite upbeat Eurozone data

January 12, 2026, 11:10:10 AM UTC
The Euro posts minor losses against the British Pound on Monday, trading at 0.8670 at the time of writing, after failing to break resistance at 0.8690 for the second time over the last few days.
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USD/INR flattens as investors await US-India trade talks

January 12, 2026, 10:52:11 AM UTC
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades almost steady against its peers at the start of the week. The Indian Rupee stabilizes while rising oil prices and the continued outflow of foreign funds from the Indian stock market keep it broadly under pressure.
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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Attracts significant bids near 20-day EMA

January 12, 2026, 10:40:42 AM UTC
The AUD/USD pair trades 0.35% higher to near 0.6710 during the European trading session on Monday.
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NZD/USD: Downward momentum remains mild – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 10:40:22 AM UTC
The combination of slowing momentum and oversold conditions suggest New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to consolidate, probably between 0.5715 and 0.5750.
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USD: Political threats rattle Fed, USD and Treasuries fall – BBH

January 12, 2026, 10:37:02 AM UTC
Heightened political threat to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) independence roil markets. The US Dollar (USD), long-term Treasuries and US equity futures all fell while gold prices hit new record highs.
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Dollar slides as Powell faces DoJ subpoenas – ING

January 12, 2026, 10:31:25 AM UTC
The US Dollar’s (USD) steady rise was disrupted after Fed Chair Jerome Powell revealed grand jury subpoenas from the Justice Department, raising fears over potential threats to the Fed’s independence and triggering a sell-off in equities, Treasuries, and the USD.
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AUD/USD: Likely to trade between 0.6655 and 0.6745 – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 10:28:07 AM UTC
Instead of extending its decline, Australian Dollar (AUD) is more likely to range-trade between 0.6670 and 0.6710. In the longer run, the current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase between 0.6655 and 0.6745, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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EUR/JPY rises on improved Eurozone sentiment, Japanese political uncertainty

January 12, 2026, 10:26:04 AM UTC
EUR/JPY trades around 184.40 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day, supported by a combination of macroeconomic factors favorable to the Euro (EUR) and negative for the Japanese Yen (JPY).
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JPY struggles amid political uncertainty – ING

January 12, 2026, 10:21:10 AM UTC
Picking a bottom on the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains hard. Speculation that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will dissolve the parliament and call snap elections has continued to rise over the weekend, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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GBP/USD: Chance to test the major support at 1.3370 – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 10:17:41 AM UTC
Even without a significant increase in downward momentum, Pound Sterling (GBP) may yet test the major support at 1.3370. In the longer run, GBP could decline to 1.3370, potentially reaching 1.3340, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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EUR and SEK seen as potential beneficiaries – ING

January 12, 2026, 10:08:48 AM UTC
Despite limited euro-zone data and muted European Central Bank (ECB) messaging, EUR/USD could move toward 1.16 and potentially 1.17–1.1750 if concerns over Fed political risk ease, though geopolitical tensions around Greenland continue to cloud the outlook, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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EUR/USD: Risk of closing below 1.1615 remains intact – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 9:56:05 AM UTC
Euro (EUR) must break and close below 1.1615 before a move to 1.1585 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Gold breaks above December high – Société Générale

January 12, 2026, 9:50:32 AM UTC
Gold has rebounded from an interim low near $4,270 and broken above its December high, signalling renewed upside momentum after successfully defending its multi-month rising trend line, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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US: Downside surprises in December payrolls and unemployment rate – UOB Group

January 12, 2026, 9:46:06 AM UTC
The latest US Employment Situation report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) last Fri (9 Jan) presented two main downside surprises as jobs growth in December missed expectations even though the bar was set low while unemployment rate also dipped below expectations.
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USD/JPY eyes breakout above recent range – Société Générale

January 12, 2026, 9:39:50 AM UTC
USD/JPY continues to consolidate above its 50-day moving average, keeping upward momentum intact as the pair attempts to break out of its trading range formed since November, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence improves to -1.8 in January vs. -6.2 prior

January 12, 2026, 9:35:11 AM UTC
The Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index improves significantly in the first month of 2026 to -1.8 from -6.2 in December.
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Oil rises on Iran unrest and Russia supply risks – ING

January 12, 2026, 9:33:59 AM UTC
After a strong end to last week, the Oil market has continued to strengthen in early-morning trading today as protests in Iran escalate, raising concerns about supply. The Iranian government warned both the US and Israel not to intervene amid the ongoing unrest.
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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Pound steadies at long-term highs above 212.20

January 12, 2026, 9:31:45 AM UTC
The Sterling stands comfortably at long-term highs above 212.10 on Monday, supported by a weaker Japanese Yen following news reporting that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi might be considering calling snap elections in February.According to a Kyodo News report, Takaichi would have told an official of
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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

January 12, 2026, 9:31:11 AM UTC
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $84.16 per troy ounce, up 5.43% from the $79.82 it cost on Friday.
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